Hit List: Week of October 12
Seven growth leaders at or near a buy point: AMD in range after a confirmed breakout, SNOW, LPG, LB and CBLL in bases near their pivots, and DDOG and ZETA on watch. Read More …
Month: October 2026
Do Strong Industry Groups Make Better Breakouts?
We tested 21,000+ breakouts against the strength, momentum and breadth of their industry groups. A strong group added little once the stock’s own strength was counted. A fast-climbing group helped a bit, and the stock’s own RS mattered most. Read More …
Energize Me
Quick Take: Eleven stocks from this week’s Growth Basic screen are sitting in bases within 8% of a buy point. Four more just cleared their pivots, but on light volume, so the move isn’t confirmed. Read More …
Testing Our Market Bias Flag: Ten Years of Growth Breakouts
Our Market Bias flag is now set by a tested rule: the Nasdaq’s trend plus distribution days. On red-flag days, growth-stock breakouts worked about half as often and a 10% Nasdaq drop followed nearly half the time. Read More …
Why We Watch Volume, and Whose Volume We Count
Big funds can’t hide their selling: it shows up as down days on heavy volume. Here’s how we use our 20-Day A/D Score to manage risk, and why it counts NYSE volume for the S&P 500 and QQQ volume for the Nasdaq. Read More …
Breadth Beats Volume: Testing Eight Gauges of Institutional Selling
We backtested eight measures of selling pressure against nine years of S&P 500 drawdowns. The share of stocks below their 50-day average was the most reliable warning; volume-based measures, including our own distribution-day count, were weaker and less consistent. Read More …
High Drag
Seven distribution days in 20 sessions: the uptrend is under pressure even as the Nasdaq 100 hits a new high. Read More …
Do Distribution Days Predict the S&P 500? A Five-Year Backtest
We tested our 20-day accumulation/distribution rules against five years of SPY data. A high distribution count flagged elevated drawdown risk, but it did not predict lower prices. Read More …
Negative Creep
Quick Take: The S&P 500 has logged 7 distribution days against 2 accumulation days over the last 20 sessions. Read More …